CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-01-21T17:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-01-21T17:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36550/-1
CME Note: Narrow CME seen due south in SOHO LASCO which appears to be associated with a minor eruption from near Active Region 13967 (S20E25) and broad dimming signature seen best in SDO/GOES 193/195, respectively, following a much larger eruption occurring 2025-01-21T10:20Z. The eruption is characterized by modest southern deflection (out of the ecliptic).
CME Arrival Time: -----
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: -----
Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-01-25T12:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/36552/1 Model Inputs: 2025-01-21T17:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-3.0, Lat.=-29.0, Speed=457.0, HalfAngle=10.0, Time21.5=2025-01-22T00:11Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2025-01-25T12:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20250122_001100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 82.28 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Chris Stubenrauch (M2M Office) on 2025-01-22T01:43Z
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